Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Opening Lines and Betting Trends January 3, 2021

The Buffalo Bills (12-3) are 3.5-point favorites as they aim to extend their five-game winning streak in a matchup with the Miami Dolphins (10-5) on Sunday, January 3, 2021 at Bills Stadium. An over/under of 47.5 is set in the game.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 3, 2021
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Orchard Park, NY
  • Stadium: Bills Stadium

Place a bet on the Bills or the Dolphins in their Week 17 matchup.

Betting Information

Bills vs Dolphins Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Bills -3.5 110 -130 47.5 -110 -110 -195 165

Bills Betting Insights

  • Buffalo’s games have hit the over in 10 out of 15 outings this season (66.7%).
  • Buffalo has compiled a 10-5 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bills are 5-3 ATS when favored by at least 3.5 points.
  • The Bills have put an average of 29.7 points per game on the scoreboard this season, 10.9 more than the 18.8 the Dolphins have surrendered in each contest.
  • In games where Buffalo score at least 29.7 points this season, they are 7-1 overall and 7-1 against the spread.
  • Miami is 7-0 overall and 7-0 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 18.8 points.

Bet on the Bills to win the Super Bowl.

Dolphins Betting Insights

  • Just nine of Miami’s 15 games this year have gone over the point total (40% of its opportunities).
  • Miami has put together an 11-4 record against the spread this season.
  • The Dolphins are 3-1 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • The Dolphins average points scored this season (25.2) and the Bills points allowed (23.3) are within 1.9 points of each other.
  • Miami is 6-2 overall and 7-1 against the spread when they score at least 25.2 points this season.
  • Buffalo is 8-0 overall and 6-2 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 23.3 points.

Bet on the Dolphins to win the Super Bowl.

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Bills vs Dolphins
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Bills (-3.5) Over (47.5) Bills 28 Dolphins 21

Total Facts

  • The Bills and their opponents have combined for 47.5 points — this matchup’s point total — in eight of 15 outings (53.3%) this season.
  • Miami and its opponents have added up to score more than 47.5 points in 46.7% of their matchups this year (seven of 15 opportunities).
  • The Bills and the Dolphins combine to average 7.4 more points per game than the over/under of 47.5 set for this matchup.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 5.4 less points per game (42.1) than this game’s over/under of 47.5 points.
  • The average point total for Bills games this season is 5.4 more points than the over/under of 47.5 in this matchup.
  • The average over/under for Dolphins games this year is 3.5 less points than the point total of 47.5 in this outing.

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Bills vs Dolphins: Last 5 Meetings

Buffalo holds an edge against Miami over the past five meetings between these two squads, recording a 4-1 record in those games. The Dolphins are 2-1 against the spread in those games against the Bills. Buffalo has had the scoring advantage in those five matchups, totaling 158 points while Miami put up 107.

Bills vs Dolphins: Last Five Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
9/20/2020 Bills Dolphins -5.50 42.00 -225 +195 524-410 BUF 31-28 BUF
11/17/2019 Bills Dolphins -7 41.5 -345 +290 424-303 BUF 37-20 BUF
10/20/2019 Bills Bills -17 42 -1115 +850 381-305 MIA 31-21 BUF
12/30/2018 N/A Bills N/A N/A N/A N/A 381-225 BUF 42-17 BUF
12/2/2018 N/A Dolphins N/A N/A N/A N/A 415-175 BUF 21-17 MIA

Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)

  • The Bills total over the last three games is 4.2 points more than the 47.5 total given for this matchup.
  • Buffalo has gone 3-0 against the spread and 3-0 overall over the last three contests.
  • Buffalo has finished under the total one time in the last three contests.
  • The Dolphins have averaged a total of 48.3 combined points over their last three games, 0.8 greater than this game’s total of 47.5.
  • Miami has been playing well lately, going 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 straight up over their last three contests.
  • Miami has gone over the total two times in their last three outcomes.

Injury Report

Bills: WR Cole Beasley: Questionable (Leg), WR John Brown: Out (Illness), RB T.J. Yeldon: Out (Illness), OT Cody Ford: Out (Knee), TE Tommy Sweeney: Out (Foot), RB Christian Wade: Out (Illness), CB Cam Lewis: Out (Wrist), OLB Del’Shawn Phillips: Out (Quadriceps), WR Isaiah Hodgins: Out (Shoulder), CB Dane Jackson: Questionable (Knee), TE Reggie Gilliam: Questionable (Knee), DB Josh Thomas: Out (Illness)

Dolphins: WR DeVante Parker: Questionable (Hamstring), DE Shaq Lawson: Questionable (Ankle), WR Jakeem Grant Sr.: Doubtful (Ankle), LB Elandon Roberts: Questionable (Knee), LB Vince Biegel: Out (Torn Achilles), NT Davon Godchaux: Out (Biceps), DE Jonathan Ledbetter: Out (Ankle), WR Preston Williams: Out (Foot), G Solomon Kindley: Questionable (Knee), DE Tyshun Render: Out (Illness)

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