NCAAF 2021 Regular Season: Ole Miss vs Alabama Betting Analysis & Prediction

Alabama head coach Nick Saban has never lost to a team coached by any of his former assistants, with ex-Crimson Tide offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin bringing his 12th ranked Ole Miss Rebels into Tuscaloosa.

Last year the Rebels scored the most points against the eventual national champion Tide in a 63-48 loss, but Kiffin has an improved defense, and Alabama lost some big offensive weapons from its 13-0 squad from 2020. That being said, let’s take a closer look at the upcoming Ole Miss vs Alabama matchup so you can get ready to bet against their NCAAF odds.

College Football Betting Preview for Ole Miss Rebels at Alabama

Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview

The 3 – 0 Rebels lead the nation with 635 yards a game in total offense, and they were able to gain 647 yards on Alabama in last season’s game. In 2020, Ole Miss allowed 519 yards and 38 points a game, with the same numbers at 344 and 21 for 2021, albeit against a non-conference body of work of just three contests.

Even if they don’t sustain those defensive statistics throughout the season, it was obvious in their opening 43-24 win against Louisville, where they faced dangerous quarterback Malik Cunningham, that the Ole Miss defense was vastly improved.

The Rebel coaching staff will no doubt be looking at a lot of film from Alabama’s narrow 31-29 win over Florida earlier in the season, looking for ways to attack the current version of the Crimson Tide defense as well as ways to successfully defend quarterback Bryce Young.

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Florida game may have been a signal that top-ranked and 4 – 0 Alabama may struggle to replace a quarterback and Heisman Trophy-winning receiver that are starting in the NFL, especially against the SEC level defenses they’ll face throughout the rest of the season.

Although the scores of their non-conference games have been lopsided, the Tide are averaging what is considered a rather unspectacular 465 yards of total offense per game and only 151 yards on the ground.

Last year, the Ole Miss defense wasn’t much of a match for quarterback Mac Jones, running back Najee Harris, and receiver DeVonta Smith, but none of those players are still on the team, although they have capably plugged the holes left by their departures.

The real challenge for the Tide is to slow down an offense that shredded them like no other last year while scoring enough points of their own to pull out an 18th consecutive victory dating back to the 2020 Citrus Bowl win over Michigan.

Betting Lines and Odds

Ole Miss vs Alabama Game Preview and Pick

The spread for Saturday’s SEC West clash is roughly the same as Alabama’s margin of victory in last year’s contest, which would lead one to assume that the two teams are about where they were in talent and execution as they were in 2020.

Ole Miss has clearly improved on defense; while Alabama is still potent offensively, they don’t seem to have the explosiveness they did during their run the national championship with one of the best lineups in college football history.

Go all-in on the Rebels and bet the under.

Prediction: Ole Miss 40 Alabama 35

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