NFL Week 11: Saints vs Eagles Betting Analysis & Prediction

The New Orleans Saints travel to Philadelphia hoping to end a 2-game losing streak. The Saints were in a position to beat both the Atlanta Falcons and the Tennessee Titans. But New Orleans failed to close the door in both games. The Eagles have gotten their rushing attack going. Will Philadelphia add a third straight loss? Or will the Saints get it done? Keep reading for NFL odds, analysis, and a free pick for New Orleans versus Philadelphia.

NFL Betting Preview for New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia

NFL Week 11 Betting | New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles Game Odds & Info

  • When: Sunday, Nov. 21 at 1:00 pm ET
  • Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA 
  • TV / Streaming: FOX / Fox Sports 
  • ATS Odds: Philadelphia -1 ½    
  • Over/Under Odds: 43 ½ 

Why bet on New Orleans versus Philadelphia?

Philadelphia’s offense is dependent on the rush, which makes this a fantastic matchup for the Saints’ defense. New Orleans allows 72.9 rushing yards per game, ranking first in the league. Not only that, but there’s a good chance Ryan Ramczyk, Taysom Hill, Alvin Kamara, and Terron Armstead all play on Sunday.  

New Orleans Saints Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 321.1
  • Passing Yards: 202.2
  • Rushing Yards: 118.9
  • Points Scored: 24.7
  • Turnovers: 8

New Orleans Saints Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 337.8
  • Passing Yards: 264.9
  • Rushing Yards: 72.9
  • Points Scored: 19.8
  • Takeaways: 13

Why bet on Philadelphia versus New Orleans?

In their last couple of games, the Eagles have rushed for a combined 392 yards. So even though the Saints have a great rushing defense, Philadelphia’s rushing attack is good enough to break it down. Not only that, but the Eagles’ defense played great in the 30-13 victory over the Denver Broncos in Week 10. Philly is rolling.  

Philadelphia Eagles Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 350.1
  • Passing Yards: 205.8
  • Rushing Yards: 144.3
  • Points Scored: 25.7
  • Turnovers: 8

Philadelphia Eagles Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 350.6
  • Passing Yards: 233.3
  • Rushing Yards: 117.3
  • Points Scored: 23.1
  • Takeaways: 9

Saints at Eagles Relevant Trends

  • Saints are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a losing home record
  • New Orleans is 0-5 ATS  in their last 5 games following an ATS win
  • Over is 5-1 in the Saints last 6 games
  • Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 11
  • Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite
  • Under is 7-1 in the Eagles last 8 games as a home favorite

New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles Final Betting Prediction

On paper, it sure looks as if Philadelphia has the upper hand. But the Eagles are terrible at covering the spread on their field.

Philly has gone 0-4 ATS in their 4 home games this season. In NFL Week 11, the Eagles should go 0-5 ATS at home.

Jalen Hurts and his mates face the best rushing defense in the NFL. The Saints just don’t give up a ton of rushing yards, which means pressure will fall on Jalen Hurts to win this game.

Hurts is capable, but the Saints’ secondary is pretty good. Marcus Lattimore will lock down on Hurts’ favorite target, wide receiver DeVonta Smith. 

Almost as important? Philly allows 117.3 rushing yards per game and the Saints have a great rushing attack. Even if Alvin Kamara can’t go, Mark Ingram will lead the charge. Saints moneyline is the play. 

NFL Week 11 Pick: New Orleans Saints moneyline

 


 

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