Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Early Picks and Betting Trends January 3, 2021

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-5) bring a three-game winning streak into a matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (4-11) on Sunday, January 3, 2021 at Raymond James Stadium. Tampa Bay is a 6.5-point favorite in the contest. The game’s over/under is set at 50.5.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 3, 2021
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Tampa, FL
  • Stadium: Raymond James Stadium

Place a bet on the Buccaneers or the Falcons in their Week 17 matchup.

Betting Information

Buccaneers vs Falcons Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Buccaneers -6.5 -105 -115 50.5 -110 -110 N/A N/A

Buccaneers Betting Insights

  • Most of Tampa Bay’s games this year — eight out of 15 — have hit the over (53.3%).
  • Tampa Bay has compiled an 8-7 record against the spread this season.
  • The Buccaneers have an ATS record of 3-2 when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
  • The Buccaneers have put an average of 29.9 points per game on the scoreboard this season, 5.2 more than the 24.7 the Falcons have surrendered in each contest.
  • In games where Tampa Bay score at least 29.9 points this season, they are 7-0 overall and 5-2 against the spread.
  • When the Atlanta defense allows 24.7 points or fewer this year, the Falcons have pieced together a 3-6 overall record and a 4-5 record against the spread.

Bet on the Buccaneers to win the Super Bowl.

Falcons Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has put together a losing 7-8 record against the spread this season.
  • Most of Atlanta’s games this year — nine out of 15 — have not gone over the point total (60%).
  • The Buccaneers defense has allowed 21.9 points per game this season, about the same amount as the 24.6 the Falcons have scored.
  • In games where Atlanta scores at least 24.6 points this season, they are 4-4 overall and 6-2 against the spread.
  • Tampa Bay is 6-1 overall and 6-1 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 21.9 points.

Bet on the Falcons to win the Super Bowl.

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Buccaneers vs Falcons
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Buccaneers (-6.5) Over (50.5) Buccaneers 33 Falcons 18

Total Facts

  • The average point total in Buccaneers games this year is 1.2 more points than the over/under of 50.5 in this matchup.
  • The average point total for the Falcons this season is 1.2 points lower than this game’s over/under.
  • The Buccaneers and their opponents have recorded more than this matchup’s over/under (50.5 points) in 53.3% of their outings this season (eight of 15 opportunities).
  • The Falcons have played in six games this season (out of 15 total matchups — 40% of chances) where they combined with their opponents to score more than 50.5 points.
  • The Buccaneers and the Falcons combine to average 4.0 more points per game than the total of 50.5 set for this matchup.
  • The Buccaneers and the Falcons have seen their opponents average a combined 3.9 less points per game than the point total of 50.5 set in this game.

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Buccaneers vs Falcons: Last 5 Meetings

Atlanta holds an edge against Tampa Bay over the last five matchups between these two teams, putting together a 3-2 record in those games. The Falcons are 2-1 against the spread in those games against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay outscored Atlanta 149-145 in those five head-to-head matchups.

Buccaneers vs Falcons: Last Five Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
12/20/2020 Buccaneers Falcons -6.00 49.50 -286 +240 416-369 TB 31-27 TB
12/29/2019 Buccaneers Buccaneers -1 48 -110 +-104 373-329 ATL 28-22 ATL
11/24/2019 Falcons Falcons -3.5 51.5 -180 +155 446-337 TB 35-22 TB
12/30/2018 N/A Buccaneers N/A N/A N/A N/A 489-433 ATL 34-32 ATL
10/14/2018 N/A Falcons N/A N/A N/A N/A 510-417 TB 34-29 ATL

Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)

  • The Buccaneers and their opponents have combined to score an average of 50.7 points over their last three games, 0.2 more than the 50.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • Tampa Bay is 2-1 against the spread and 3-0 straight up over their last three contests.
  • Tampa Bay has hit under the total two times in their last three outcomes.
  • The Falcons total over the last three games is 8.5 points fewer than the 50.5 over/under given for this matchup.
  • Atlanta has been in top form recently, going 2-1 against the spread and 0-3 straight up in their last three outcomes.
  • Atlanta has gone under the total two times in their last three games.

Injury Report

Buccaneers: C A.Q. Shipley: Out (Neck), WR Cyril Grayson: Out (Undisclosed), TE O.J. Howard: Out (Achilles), RB T.J. Logan: Out (Knee), NT Vita Vea: Out (Ankle), RB Ronald Jones II: Out (Illness), CB Carlton Davis: Questionable (Groin), WR John Franklin: Out (Knee), FS Mike Edwards: Questionable (Hip)

Falcons: C Alex Mack: Questionable (Concussion), WR Julio Jones: Questionable (Hamstring), G James Carpenter: Questionable (Groin), CB Darqueze Dennard: Questionable (Quadriceps), SS Damontae Kazee: Out (Achilles), WR Olamide Zaccheaus: Out (Toe), DE Marlon Davidson: Questionable (Knee), DE Austin Edwards: Out (Illness)

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