It has been a rather crazy start to the college football season through the opening 5 weeks. While Alabama and Georgia have maintained their spots in the top 2, the rankings have changed dramatically from week to week below them. This weekend, we saw Oregon drop out of the top 4 after a surprising loss to Stanford. We are going to see another team make that drop this coming weekend, as we have #3 Iowa and #4 Penn State going head-to-head in Week 6 action. While we have been killing it in our SU and O/U picks this season, we are not doing so well in out ATS picks. Let’s see if we can turn that around in Week 6 of the college football season, so you can get ready to bet against the NCAAF odds.
Week 6 ATS Picks for the 2021 Season | NCAA Football Betting
Maryland Terrapins at Ohio State Buckeyes (-21 ½)
Over the past few weeks, we have continually talked about all the surprise results we have seen this season. One of the early surprises saw Ohio State lose at home to the Oregon Ducks. While that loss did not totally kill their chances to get into the playoffs, the Buckeyes are well aware that they cannot afford to make another mistake. It has been a slow process, but it does now look as though Ohio State are rounding into form, which I think we will see more of this weekend. Maryland started the season unbeaten, but they got their first real test last weekend, going down 51-14 to Iowa. They come into this one having gone 2-4 ATS in their last 6 versus the Buckeyes. Ohio State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played in the month of October.
Boise State Broncos at BYU Cougars (-5 ½)
We all tend to focus on the top 4 teams and those who are likely to get into a playoff spot by the end of the season. That very often means ignoring good teams that are not part of the Power 5 conferences. Adopting that attitude means potentially missing out on very decent betting opportunities.
The BYU Cougars are one team that are perhaps not getting enough love this season given that they are an Independent. At 5-0, though, they absolutely should not be ignored. This weekend, they welcome in the Boise State Broncos, who have gone just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings with BYU. There are a couple of reasons to like BYU here, starting with the fact that they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 October games. They are also 10-4 ATS in their last 14 versus the Mountain West.
Michigan Wolverines (-3) at Nebraska Cornhuskers
Another team that is quietly moving up the rankings is the Michigan Wolverines, who have started the season with 5 straight wins. Yes, their bigger games all come in the second half of the season, but it’s still possible to build some serious momentum before those bigger games arrive. The Wolverines have a tricky one this weekend, as they will be on the road to face the Nebraska Cornhuskers, who have started the season at 3-3. The Cornhuskers are coming off a big win over Northwestern in Week 5, but this is definitely a step up. The Wolverines have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games, and while Nebraska has covered in each of their last 5, I think it will be Michigan who win and cover this weekend.
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