NFL 2021 Regular Season: Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Betting Analysis

In 2020, the Buffalo Bills were a game short of stamping their ticket to the franchise’s fifth Super Bowl appearance. The Bills feel they can improve upon the AFC Championship loss to Kansas City and make it to the big game this season. Buffalo’s quest for a Lombardi Trophy begins on Sunday when the Bills take on 2020 AFC North Champion Pittsburgh. Keep reading for NFL Betting Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Pittsburgh Steelers versus Buffalo Bills.   

NFL Betting Preview for Steelers vs Bills

NFL Week 1: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Why bet on the Pittsburgh versus Buffalo?

Last season, Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 19.5 points per on average and had 26 takeaways in 16 games. Steeler fans got some good news on Tuesday when Pittsburgh said T.J. Watt was a full participant at practice and will start on Sunday. Watt could spy Bills’ quarterback Josh Allen, rush Allen from the edge, cover Bills’ slot receiver Cole Beasley, or bottle up Buffalo’s rush. He’ll probably do all four.  

Pittsburgh Steelers 2020 Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 334.6
  • Passing Yards: 250.2
  • Rushing Yards: 84.4
  • Points Scored: 26
  • Turnovers: 18

Pittsburgh Steelers 2020 Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 305.8
  • Passing Yards: 194.4
  • Rushing Yards: 111.4
  • Points Scored: 19.5
  • Takeaways: 26

Why bet on the Buffalo versus Pittsburgh?

Quarterback Josh Allen is one of the favorites to win this season’s MVP. Allen is a fantastic drop back passer who also has incredible wheels. He can beat you with his legs, but he mustn’t beat you with his legs. Pittsburgh’s defense is good, but it, like every D in the NFL, will have trouble containing the Bills’ awesome quarterback. 

Buffalo Bills 2020 Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 396.4
  • Passing Yards: 288.8
  • Rushing Yards: 107.7
  • Points Scored: 31.3
  • Turnovers: 22

Buffalo Bills 2020 Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 352.5
  • Passing Yards: 232.9
  • Rushing Yards: 119.6
  • Points Scored: 23.4
  • Takeaways: 26

Pittsburgh versus Buffalo Final Betting Prediction

When there was a question mark about whether Watt would play, backing Buffalo at -6.5 made some sense. The Bills are the better team with the better offense. 

Without Watt, Josh Allen figured to dominate through the air and on the ground. But Watt will play on Sunday, which makes the Bills an underlay. 

Pittsburgh held Buffalo to 26 points in a 26-15 loss last season. The Steelers’ offense should be better because Roethlisberger had no rushing attack to lean on in 2020. This season, the future hall of fame quarterback who this season can lean on a talented running back in Najee Harris. 

If Harris and Watt play as well as many expect they will, Pittsburgh could have a shot in the fourth quarter to win this one straight up. +6.5 makes the Steelers an overlay. 

NFL Week 1 Pick: Pittsburgh


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